Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.0% | 26.0% | -5.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -6 (57-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Cross | 33 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +8.6 |
| Boopie Miller | 33 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Samet Yigitoglu | 29 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +5.4 |
| B.J. Edwards | 29 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +8.7 |
| Kario Oquendo | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +11.9 |
| Chuck Harris | 18 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +8.1 |
| Tibet Gorener | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.8 |
| Yohan Traore | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.2 |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Jerrell Colbert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor | 33 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -7.6 |
| Marcus Hill | 30 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | -6.3 |
| Michael O'Connell | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2.5 |
| D. Styles | 25 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | -7.6 |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9.7 |
| Ben Middlebrooks | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Dennis Parker Jr. | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Paul Mcneil | 15 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Breon Pass | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.9 |
| Bryce Heard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0.4 |
| Trey Parker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.8 |
| Ismael Diouf | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter