Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daquan Davis | 37 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -7.4 |
| T.B. Bowen | 35 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +1.8 |
| Jamir Watkins | 29 | 7-20 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | -1.3 |
| Malique Ewin | 28 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | -3.4 |
| Justin Thomas | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Jerry Deng | 19 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Bostyn Holt | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -10.2 |
| Alier Maluk | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Christian Nitu | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Wilkinson | 32 | 6-17 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 4 | +6.5 |
| Jovan Blacksher Jr. | 32 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | +5.4 |
| Rytis Petraitis | 31 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | +4.5 |
| DJ Campbell | 31 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Mady Sissoko | 29 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 29 | +5.4 |
| Joshua Ola-Joseph | 18 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +6.2 |
| Lee Dort | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Christian Tucker | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Spencer Mahoney | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter