Model Predictions
| Model | Boston College Eagles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +18 (74-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Venning | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | -3.0 |
| Fred Payne | 29 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Joshua Beadle | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -0.2 |
| Dion Brown | 22 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | -7.0 |
| Donald Hand Jr. | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Roger McFarlane | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -9.4 |
| Jayden Hastings | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5.7 |
| Chas Kelley III | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +7.8 |
| Luka Toews | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -4.8 |
| Kany Tchanda | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.3 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Rohde | 30 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | +5.9 |
| Isaac McKneely | 29 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +12.2 |
| D. Ames | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Blake Buchanan | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Ishan Sharma | 20 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Elijah Saunders | 20 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +4.5 |
| Jacob Cofie | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Anthony Robinson | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +5.6 |
| TJ Power | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Taine Murray | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3.7 |
| Markus Rouse | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter