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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 94.8% 5.2% -
Bradley-Terry 95.2% 4.8% -
Margin 99.4% 0.6% -27.7 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 73.2% 26.8% -
Efficiency 73.2% 26.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Log Adjusted 96.8% 3.2% -
Points Off/Def 92.0% 8.0% -

Actual: Boston College Eagles -25 (63-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Flagg 31 9-14 1-3 9-11 5 4 2 2 2 28 25 +15.5
S. James 27 2-3 0-0 2-3 7 6 0 0 0 6 16 +11.5
K. Knueppel 26 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -2.3
T. Proctor 26 7-12 3-7 3-3 3 2 0 0 1 20 12 +6.5
I. Evans 21 5-11 4-9 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 16 7 +19.8
M. Gillis 19 1-1 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 4 8 +9.1
K. Maluach 17 4-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 8 7 +0.3
P. Ngongba II 14 2-2 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 0 4 7 -0.2
C. Foster 14 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 2 2 0 +2.2
D. Harris 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -1.1

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hand Jr. 37 4-12 3-7 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 12 4 -10.8
R. McFarlane 37 2-4 2-3 2-4 3 0 1 1 1 8 8 -6.8
C. Venning 34 7-11 0-0 5-9 3 1 0 3 1 19 14 -10.9
D. Brown 30 3-6 0-1 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 7 6 +3.0
J. Beadle 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 4 5 -1.2
F. Payne 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
C. Kelley III 13 2-6 0-2 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 4 -1 -3.3
L. Toews 10 0-2 0-1 3-4 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -4.6
J. Hastings 7 2-2 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 1 1 6 6 +0.2

* = starter