Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +14 (81-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Rohde | 35 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -17.9 |
| Isaac McKneely | 33 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -13.3 |
| Elijah Saunders | 33 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | -13.2 |
| D. Ames | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Ishan Sharma | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -4.6 |
| Blake Buchanan | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -4.2 |
| Anthony Robinson | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +5.4 |
| Jacob Cofie | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -2.4 |
| Taine Murray | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.1 |
| TJ Power | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'Vonne Hadley | 34 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +13.7 |
| Chucky Hepburn | 34 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +13.8 |
| Terrence Edwards Jr. | 33 | 6-13 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +12.2 |
| Reyne Smith | 32 | 4-11 | 4-11 | 7-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | +20.2 |
| James Scott | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | +12.6 |
| Khani Rooths | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Aboubacar Traore | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -3.0 |
| Frank Anselem | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Cole Sherman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.8 |
| Spencer Legg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Aidan McCool | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
* = starter