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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model California Golden Bears NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 40.8% 59.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.3% 49.7% - โœ“
Margin 37.5% 62.5% +2.8 โœ— (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 45.4% 54.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.9% 57.1% - โœ—

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -3 (62-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrej Stojakovic 35 5-16 0-2 0-2 5 1 2 2 4 10 0 +10.4
DJ Campbell 31 4-5 1-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 13 10 +5.3
Mady Sissoko 29 3-4 0-0 4-6 5 0 1 3 1 10 14 +6.1
Rytis Petraitis 29 1-1 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 0 1 2 13 +5.3
Jovan Blacksher Jr. 27 5-11 2-6 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 14 8 +7.2
Jeremiah Wilkinson 19 4-8 3-6 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 11 2 -5.1
Lee Dort 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 4 7 +0.0
Joshua Ola-Joseph 10 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 +0.0
Christian Tucker 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Spencer Mahoney 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor 34 7-13 1-2 3-3 5 0 2 0 0 18 12 -5.3
Michael O'Connell 31 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 1 -3.3
Marcus Hill 29 6-11 0-0 1-3 5 2 1 0 1 13 9 -1.4
D. Styles 27 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 0 2 -5.3
Ben Middlebrooks 23 4-8 0-1 3-4 4 0 0 1 2 11 6 -6.4
B. Huntley-Hatfield 17 1-4 0-0 1-3 5 2 1 2 1 3 8 +1.1
Dennis Parker Jr. 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 2 3 -
Breon Pass 13 3-6 0-2 1-1 0 0 0 0 2 7 -1 -3.9
Trey Parker 10 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 3 -2.0
Bryce Heard 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter