Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.9% | 27.1% | -5.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -2 (52-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Edwards | 34 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +5.7 |
| Boopie Miller | 34 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +2.7 |
| Samet Yigitoglu | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -7.1 |
| Chuck Harris | 29 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | +1.5 |
| Matt Cross | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Kario Oquendo | 23 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -6.3 |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +5.5 |
| Yohan Traore | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Tibet Gorener | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Jerrell Colbert | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Rohde | 35 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Isaac McKneely | 32 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -4.7 |
| D. Ames | 28 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +5.2 |
| Blake Buchanan | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 22 | +3.9 |
| Elijah Saunders | 26 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -7.0 |
| Jacob Cofie | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +5.0 |
| Ishan Sharma | 18 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +13.0 |
| Anthony Robinson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Taine Murray | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -9.3 |
* = starter