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2025-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% - โœ—
Margin 59.1% 40.9% -2.0 โœ— (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 66.3% 33.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 53.5% 46.5% - โœ—

Actual: Florida State Seminoles +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaland Lowe 38 6-12 1-4 9-10 2 5 3 0 8 22 12 -20.0
Ishmael Leggett 35 4-10 1-4 4-4 6 4 1 0 4 13 10 -10.5
Damian Dunn 31 0-8 0-2 2-2 1 1 2 0 2 2 -4 -20.6
Cameron Corhen 26 0-4 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 0 2 2 5 -13.1
Zack Austin 25 3-6 2-4 0-0 5 0 2 0 0 8 9 -5.2
Jorge Diaz Graham 18 5-7 4-5 3-4 1 0 1 1 0 17 13 +0.3
Papa Amadou Kante 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -6.9
Brandin Cummings 9 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -8.6
Guillermo Diaz Graham 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -2.2

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.B. Bowen 34 2-8 1-4 1-1 7 3 1 4 2 6 11 +18.8
Daquan Davis 33 4-9 1-2 2-2 0 2 3 0 1 11 6 +22.8
Chandler Jackson 27 3-7 0-1 7-8 2 4 1 0 0 13 13 -
Malique Ewin 26 6-9 0-0 6-9 13 1 1 3 4 18 23 +18.3
Justin Thomas 25 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 5 6 +11.3
Jamir Watkins 23 6-13 3-6 11-12 8 1 1 0 4 26 19 +8.3
Alier Maluk 11 1-2 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -0.1
Bostyn Holt 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -4.5
Jerry Deng 6 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -3.7
AJ Swinton 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 +6.0
Christian Nitu 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter