Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +26 (79-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrej Stojakovic | 32 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -7.6 |
| Jovan Blacksher Jr. | 29 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | -9.3 |
| DJ Campbell | 26 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -7.5 |
| Mady Sissoko | 24 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | -2.0 |
| Joshua Ola-Joseph | 22 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -5.2 |
| Jeremiah Wilkinson | 18 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -10 | -9.9 |
| Rytis Petraitis | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -6.0 |
| Lee Dort | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8.6 |
| Christian Tucker | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Spencer Mahoney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Devin Curtis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Matt Desler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Vladimir Pavlovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Jack McCloskey | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Jackson | 33 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | +5.0 |
| Elliot Cadeau | 30 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 3 | +9.4 |
| RJ Davis | 30 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +13.7 |
| Seth Trimble | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +8.6 |
| Drake Powell | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +6.4 |
| Jalen Washington | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +3.4 |
| V. Lubin | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +4.1 |
| Cade Tyson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.5 |
| James Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Dante Mayo Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Russell Hawkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| John Holbrook | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter