Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.1% | 15.9% | -9.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -20 (50-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'Vonne Hadley | 36 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +15.1 |
| Chucky Hepburn | 32 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +10.6 |
| Reyne Smith | 30 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +18.7 |
| Terrence Edwards Jr. | 29 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +16.4 |
| James Scott | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | +6.5 |
| Noah Waterman | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Aboubacar Traore | 16 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +8.6 |
| Khani Rooths | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Frank Anselem | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aidan McCool | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Patrick Antonelli | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Spencer Legg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cole Sherman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac McKneely | 35 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -15.1 |
| Andrew Rohde | 32 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | -8.7 |
| Elijah Saunders | 30 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -1 | -7.3 |
| Taine Murray | 28 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -13.5 |
| Jacob Cofie | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Ishan Sharma | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Blake Buchanan | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.1 |
| D. Ames | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.5 |
| Anthony Robinson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -10.3 |
| TJ Power | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
* = starter