Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.5% | 8.5% | -13.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -27 (62-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Flagg | 32 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 8-8 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 26 | +20.5 |
| T. Proctor | 32 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +13.5 |
| S. James | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | +16.6 |
| K. Maluach | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +12.9 |
| K. Knueppel | 21 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +6.8 |
| C. Foster | 17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -0.3 |
| M. Gillis | 15 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +3.9 |
| M. Brown | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2.5 |
| I. Evans | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +1.4 |
| D. Harris | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.6 |
| C. Sheffield | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.9 |
| P. Ngongba II | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.8 |
| N. Begovich | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Miller | 36 | 8-18 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | -13.0 |
| M. Cross | 34 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -4.6 |
| S. Yigitoglu | 28 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -9.5 |
| Y. Traore | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -3.8 |
| K. Oquendo | 21 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6.0 |
| C. Harris | 21 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
| B.J. Edwards | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -12.6 |
| J. Colbert | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| T. Gorener | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3.7 |
| K. Ambrose-Hylton | 5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -3.5 |
| A. George | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
* = starter