Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +18 (77-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hill | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | -10.8 |
| M. O'Connell | 27 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -8.9 |
| J. Taylor | 26 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -14.1 |
| B. Middlebrooks | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5.5 |
| D. Styles | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | -4.5 |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -3.0 |
| B. Pass | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2.1 |
| D. Parker Jr. | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Parker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.1 |
| P. McNeil | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Heard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
| I. Diouf | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Johnson | 38 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| H. Sallis | 35 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 16 | +13.3 |
| T. Spillers | 33 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | +13.7 |
| C. Hildreth | 32 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +17.1 |
| J. Harris | 28 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | -2.2 |
| E. Reid III | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +19.4 |
| P. Friedrichsen | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -14.8 |
* = starter