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2024-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 3.1% 96.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 6.0% 94.0% - โœ“
Margin 0.4% 99.6% +30.3 โœ“ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 23.3% 76.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 23.3% 76.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 6.0% 94.0% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +23 (88-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rodney Brown Jr. 24 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 8 7 -6.5
Jaden Schutt 23 1-6 1-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 -1 -8.1
Tobi Lawal 22 7-9 3-4 2-4 5 0 0 0 4 19 11 -2.7
Ben Hammond 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 2 3 -8.5
Jaydon Young 19 1-3 1-3 3-3 2 0 2 0 0 6 7 +0.3
Patrick Wessler 19 3-5 0-0 4-6 2 0 1 0 0 10 8 +12.0
Ben Burnham 18 4-7 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 9 3 -9.7
Brandon Rechsteiner 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 2 2 -0.7
Mylyjael Poteat 17 2-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 6 1 -7.9
Tyler Johnson 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -9.7
Connor Serven 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cooper Flagg 30 9-14 2-4 4-4 3 6 4 1 1 24 23 +19.0
Tyrese Proctor 30 4-9 1-5 4-4 2 5 1 0 0 13 12 +18.4
Sion James 26 5-7 0-1 0-0 11 2 1 0 2 10 15 +11.9
Kon Knueppel 25 4-10 2-7 3-3 2 0 0 0 1 13 4 +6.5
Caleb Foster 19 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 2 4 -1.9
Maliq Brown 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 +6.4
Isaiah Evans 17 4-7 4-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 12 11 -4.2
Khaman Maluach 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 3 2 2 5 +2.7
Mason Gillis 10 3-5 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 10 8 -5.8
Patrick Ngongba 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.6
Darren Harris 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter