Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael O'Connell | 36 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -1.7 |
| J. Taylor | 33 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | -1.7 |
| Marcus Hill | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +4.2 |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | +1.9 |
| D. Styles | 20 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -8.4 |
| Dennis Parker Jr. | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Breon Pass | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Ismael Diouf | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -6.6 |
| Trey Parker | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2.2 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac McKneely | 37 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +5.0 |
| Elijah Saunders | 37 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | +1.6 |
| Andrew Rohde | 36 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +7.0 |
| Jacob Cofie | 25 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Taine Murray | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Ishan Sharma | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +8.7 |
| Blake Buchanan | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5.1 |
| D. Ames | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7.2 |
| TJ Power | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Anthony Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter