Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.4% | 22.6% | -6.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -14 (76-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Edwards Jr. | 36 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | +12.9 |
| Chucky Hepburn | 36 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +12.1 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 33 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +21.5 |
| Reyne Smith | 30 | 8-12 | 6-9 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | +10.4 |
| Noah Waterman | 26 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +8.1 |
| James Scott | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -7.0 |
| Khani Rooths | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.4 |
| Frank Anselem | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Watkins | 35 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 13 | -4.7 |
| Malique Ewin | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | -9.5 |
| Daquan Davis | 29 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -11.3 |
| Chandler Jackson | 27 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T.B. Bowen | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -10.4 |
| Jerry Deng | 19 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +7.8 |
| AJ Swinton | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +9.8 |
| Alier Maluk | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Justin Thomas | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Bostyn Holt | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
* = starter