Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +10 (84-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Watkins | 39 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 16-17 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 17 | -10.3 |
| M. Ewin | 34 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 19 | -11.4 |
| D. Davis | 33 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -5.0 |
| J. Thomas | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -8.3 |
| C. Jackson | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T.B. Bowen | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -4.8 |
| B. Holt | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -1.9 |
| J. Deng | 13 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -7.4 |
| AJ Swinton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.7 |
| A. Maluk | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.1 |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor | 39 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +12.5 |
| M. O'Connell | 36 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +11.8 |
| M. Hill | 33 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | +15.4 |
| D. Styles | 29 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | +12.3 |
| B. Middlebrooks | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +19.1 |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4.7 |
| D. Parker Jr. | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Parker | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1.5 |
| B. Pass | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -2.3 |
| P. McNeil | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter