Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +12 (63-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac McKneely | 34 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | -8.8 |
| Andrew Rohde | 31 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | -15.1 |
| Taine Murray | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +5.8 |
| Blake Buchanan | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -10.6 |
| Elijah Saunders | 25 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -10.7 |
| Jacob Cofie | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -9.3 |
| Ishan Sharma | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +5.6 |
| TJ Power | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -4.3 |
| D. Ames | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Anthony Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.2 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Edwards | 33 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Samet Yigitoglu | 31 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +12.2 |
| Boopie Miller | 29 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | +15.2 |
| Kario Oquendo | 27 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | +6.6 |
| Matt Cross | 26 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | +12.6 |
| Chuck Harris | 20 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +7.8 |
| Yohan Traore | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -11.5 |
| Jerrell Colbert | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.6 |
* = starter