Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +14 (75-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac McKneely | 37 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -7.8 |
| Andrew Rohde | 33 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | -12.8 |
| Elijah Saunders | 30 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | -11.9 |
| Ishan Sharma | 25 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | -18.7 |
| Taine Murray | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -4.0 |
| Jacob Cofie | 18 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +4.1 |
| Blake Buchanan | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -7.4 |
| TJ Power | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| D. Ames | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
| Anthony Robinson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4.0 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrej Stojakovic | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 16 | +13.9 |
| DJ Campbell | 33 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +13.8 |
| Mady Sissoko | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 20 | +15.9 |
| Jovan Blacksher Jr. | 26 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | +3.7 |
| Jeremiah Wilkinson | 20 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | +5.2 |
| Joshua Ola-Joseph | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +12.8 |
| Rytis Petraitis | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Lee Dort | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +8.1 |
| Spencer Mahoney | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Christian Tucker | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter