Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (82-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Cross | 32 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -14.7 |
| Chuck Harris | 32 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | -9.5 |
| B.J. Edwards | 31 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | -9.2 |
| Samet Yigitoglu | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Boopie Miller | 26 | 3-15 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | -14.9 |
| Kario Oquendo | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Yohan Traore | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6.2 |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +7.7 |
| Jerrell Colbert | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -4.7 |
| Tibet Gorener | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Powell | 35 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 9 | +15.0 |
| Ian Jackson | 34 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | +12.0 |
| RJ Davis | 32 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 7-9 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 21 | +13.8 |
| Seth Trimble | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +17.0 |
| V. Lubin | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Elliot Cadeau | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | +8.0 |
| Jalen Washington | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -3.5 |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +0.9 |
| James Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter