Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.8% | 97.2% | +19.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +29 (76-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Austin | 38 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -14.9 |
| Cameron Corhen | 38 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 14 | -15.6 |
| Jaland Lowe | 37 | 3-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -15.6 |
| Ishmael Leggett | 32 | 2-15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | -2.5 |
| Damian Dunn | 21 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Brandin Cummings | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -23.6 |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Jorge Diaz Graham | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sion James | 36 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +18.3 |
| Kon Knueppel | 35 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +20.1 |
| Cooper Flagg | 33 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 23 | +20.8 |
| Tyrese Proctor | 33 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +28.3 |
| Khaman Maluach | 25 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +23.2 |
| Maliq Brown | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -4.8 |
| Caleb Foster | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.4 |
| Mason Gillis | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +6.0 |
| Isaiah Evans | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -8.8 |
* = starter