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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 87.0% 13.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 67.7% 32.3% - โœ“
Margin 58.9% 41.1% -2.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 50.8% 49.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 73.1% 26.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 73.3% 26.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.6% 45.4% - โœ“

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -4 (78-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chucky Hepburn 37 5-16 2-8 3-3 7 7 4 0 3 15 14 -0.1
Reyne Smith 36 9-15 7-11 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 25 12 -3.2
Terrence Edwards Jr. 35 5-12 2-7 2-3 5 4 1 0 3 14 9 +4.0
James Scott 28 4-6 0-0 0-4 9 2 1 0 2 8 12 -3.2
J'Vonne Hadley 28 5-8 2-5 1-3 5 1 0 0 1 13 10 +2.8
Khani Rooths 17 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 5 8 +1.0
Aboubacar Traore 9 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 -1 -5.2
Noah Waterman 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -9.1
Frank Anselem 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ishmael Leggett 38 5-12 4-6 2-2 3 4 2 1 2 16 12 +4.6
Zack Austin 38 2-3 2-3 2-2 6 0 3 3 0 8 17 +6.3
Jaland Lowe 37 5-15 1-5 13-13 2 6 1 0 4 24 14 +3.9
Cameron Corhen 36 5-12 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 1 0 11 5 +3.9
Damian Dunn 30 5-8 3-4 2-4 8 3 1 0 2 15 17 +10.0
Guillermo Diaz Graham 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 +3.3
Brandin Cummings 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -9.7
Papa Amadou Kante 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +0.0
Jorge Diaz Graham 1 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 +2.1

* = starter