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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Stanford Cardinal Spread Result
Elo 44.2% 55.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% - โœ“
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.5 โœ“ (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.6% 63.4% - โœ“

Actual: Stanford Cardinal +23 (88-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaac McKneely 36 7-14 5-11 3-4 2 3 0 0 1 22 12 -19.0
Ishan Sharma 32 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 6 6 -8.9
Elijah Saunders 27 3-8 1-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 3 9 3 +2.7
Jacob Cofie 26 4-7 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 0 0 11 11 -20.0
Andrew Rohde 21 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 5 5 -6.8
Blake Buchanan 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 2 4 -15.5
D. Ames 14 2-5 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 1 -11.7
Taine Murray 10 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -9.3
TJ Power 7 0-0 0-0 4-4 0 0 0 0 1 4 3 +0.9
Anthony Robinson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -5.6

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Raynaud 32 8-17 0-4 8-9 10 3 0 0 1 24 19 +20.8
R. Agarwal 32 3-8 1-4 2-2 7 6 0 0 0 9 14 +21.3
J. Blakes 30 3-9 2-5 2-2 1 3 3 0 3 10 5 +15.3
Oziyah Sellers 28 6-12 3-6 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 15 7 +0.8
B. Gealer 26 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 4 +18.9
D. Young 16 3-3 1-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 8 6 +3.4
C. Okpara 15 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 2 3 0 0 5 7 -1.1
A. Cammann 12 3-3 0-0 3-3 3 0 1 0 0 9 10 +11.5
T. Toure 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.2
E. Stinson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +4.0
C. Kastner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.0
C. Grant 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
Javoy Thompson 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Batson Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +2.0

* = starter