Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.9% | 99.1% | +25.7 | ✓ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +8 (86-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Shrewsberry | 38 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +10.3 |
| Matt Allocco | 37 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +11.8 |
| Markus Burton | 34 | 8-17 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 10 | +12.5 |
| Tae Davis | 32 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -2.5 |
| J.R. Konieczny | 19 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +14.1 |
| Kebba Njie | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +10.8 |
| Sir Mohammed | 15 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Julian Roper II | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Garrett Sundra | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 36 | 11-14 | 4-6 | 16-17 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 42 | 39 | -3.7 |
| Kon Knueppel | 34 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | -6.5 |
| Khaman Maluach | 32 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 22 | -11.5 |
| Sion James | 30 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7.7 |
| Tyrese Proctor | 28 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -10.4 |
| Mason Gillis | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Caleb Foster | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | +3.8 |
| Isaiah Evans | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.2 |
| Patrick Ngongba | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Maliq Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
* = starter