Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Southern Tigers | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Abilene Christian Wildcats +4 (69-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaire Hayes | 38 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | -3.4 |
| Kavion McClain | 37 | 7-20 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 4 | -5.3 |
| Kolby Granger | 36 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -3.4 |
| Josh Farmer | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Kenny Hunter | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Zytarious Mortle | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +7.0 |
| Jaylin Jackson-Posey | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.9 |
| Mario Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Madden | 38 | 4-15 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Leonardo Bettiol | 37 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Quion Williams | 32 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | +1.1 |
| Yaniel Rivera | 30 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +4.5 |
| Nasir DeGruy | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -6.3 |
| Dontrez Williams | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Rich Smith | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +5.8 |
| Cade Hornecker | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Jack Sawyer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Ma'Shy Hill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Colby Tanner | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter