🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-02-09

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 88.9% 11.1% -
Bradley-Terry 80.4% 19.6% -
Margin 87.0% 13.0% -10.4 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% -
Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.9% 8.1% -
Log Adjusted 92.0% 8.0% -
Points Off/Def 70.9% 29.1% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers -2 (51-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Ustby 37 4-11 0-1 0-0 13 1 0 1 3 8 9 -0.4
L. Donarski 35 2-7 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 1 -4.5
M. Gakdeng 33 3-5 0-0 6-8 9 1 0 0 2 12 15 +0.5
R. Kelly 33 6-14 2-6 3-4 8 3 2 0 1 17 15 +0.5
G. Townsend 20 4-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 7 +1.5
I. Nivar 19 0-7 0-3 1-2 2 0 2 1 2 1 -3 +1.3
L. Grant 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -2.7
B. Thomas 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.9
C. Toomey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -0.1

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Kohn 35 3-9 3-8 3-3 3 0 0 0 1 12 5 +3.1
M. Cluse 34 4-7 2-4 0-0 5 3 4 1 0 10 16 +6.4
L. McQueen 30 6-13 0-0 5-5 3 1 0 0 4 17 4 -1.0
A. Porter 27 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 0 7 +2.4
R. Thompson 21 1-6 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 3 -1 -1.8
T. Miller 20 1-6 0-2 2-4 3 2 0 1 0 4 4 +6.3
M. Ott 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 +9.4
A. Poole 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 2 3 -7.4
S. Evans 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.7

* = starter