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2025-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 67.9% 32.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 61.9% 38.1% - โœ—
Margin 64.7% 35.3% -3.3 โœ— (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 67.3% 32.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 67.7% 32.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 53.5% 46.5% - โœ—

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Curry 35 4-17 2-9 3-3 2 3 0 0 2 13 -1 -2.1
T. Roberts 33 2-7 0-3 3-5 4 1 1 1 2 7 5 -1.2
O. Cochran 31 6-11 0-0 2-2 8 0 2 1 0 14 14 -2.1
J. Williams 30 5-9 0-0 2-4 5 4 1 0 3 12 10 -1.5
N. Harris 24 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 8 8 -2.2
M. Russell 21 4-9 0-2 1-3 5 1 0 0 0 9 6 +0.5
E. Istanbulluoglu 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +0.3
Izela Arenas 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -1 +0.3
I. Berry 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 +0.1
M. Randolph 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.0

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lani White 35 5-8 3-5 5-6 6 1 0 0 1 18 16 +0.3
C. Baker 34 1-3 0-2 1-3 5 1 0 0 2 3 4 +0.6
C. Wenzel 34 3-10 0-3 6-7 2 4 0 0 3 12 5 +2.9
R. Micheaux 26 4-6 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 0 3 10 6 +2.6
M. Ekh 24 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 7 5 +3.1
M. Nelson 22 2-4 0-0 4-5 0 1 3 0 1 8 7 +2.9
K. Petersen 20 5-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 12 9 +3.0
L. Wells 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -0.0

* = starter