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2025-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 93.4% 6.6% -
Bradley-Terry 87.4% 12.6% -
Margin 97.4% 2.6% -20.0 (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 58.7% 41.3% -
Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.3% 3.7% -
Log Adjusted 96.4% 3.6% -
Points Off/Def 84.3% 15.7% -

Actual: Boston College Eagles -27 (59-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mair 28 6-15 2-4 0-0 3 4 3 0 4 14 5 -0.4
A. Jackson 28 5-11 4-7 0-0 1 3 3 0 3 14 7 -0.4
R. Richardson 26 6-8 0-0 2-4 1 2 0 0 0 14 9 +0.5
J. Donovan 26 3-6 0-0 0-4 10 1 3 1 2 6 13 -1.1
D. Thomas 23 3-4 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 0 1 8 13 +0.5
E. Koabel 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 0 2 +1.0
O. Okananwa 13 4-5 1-1 3-3 5 0 1 1 2 12 12 -0.3
J. Wood 13 0-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 2 0 2 3 +1.1
V. de Jesus 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 3 1 -0.3
T. Fournier 11 4-7 0-0 3-5 3 1 0 1 1 11 8 -1.2
J. Cotton 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 -0.4

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Sidberry 25 2-10 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 3 6 -4 +0.9
T. Todd 25 3-7 0-0 2-2 2 1 3 0 1 8 6 +1.9
D. Waggoner 24 7-19 1-2 5-7 5 1 2 0 4 20 5 +1.4
A. Daley 20 2-8 0-1 2-3 5 2 4 0 3 6 6 +0.5
A. Tomlinson 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 0 -4 -0.5
N. Ndiaye 18 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 4 -0.3
K. Ivey 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 0 -2 +1.4
T. Greene 17 2-2 2-2 1-2 2 2 0 1 3 7 7 -0.6
S. Samuel 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.7
K. Jackson 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 0 +1.4
L. Krasovec 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2
J. Thompson 3 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.2

* = starter