Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.6% | 26.4% | -5.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -4 (84-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sears | 35 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 14 | -7.8 |
| Grant Nelson | 32 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | -5.2 |
| Chris Youngblood | 30 | 7-11 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | +3.1 |
| Aden Holloway | 22 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Clifford Omoruyi | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Labaron Philon | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +7.8 |
| Derrion Reid | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.8 |
| Jarin Stevenson | 11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -6.5 |
| Aiden Sherrell | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1.8 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 36 | 14-28 | 6-15 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 12 | -1.2 |
| Cameron Matthews | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | +6.0 |
| KeShawn Murphy | 27 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | +2.2 |
| Riley Kugel | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | +7.8 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4.1 |
| Claudell Harris Jr. | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +13.1 |
| Michael Nwoko | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +0.8 |
| RJ Melendez | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Dellquan Warren | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1.2 |
* = starter