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2025-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide South Carolina Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 91.5% 8.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 81.7% 18.3% - โœ“
Margin 91.0% 9.0% -12.7 โœ“ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 61.3% 38.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 63.3% 36.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.8% 9.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.1% 8.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 74.9% 25.1% - โœ“

Actual: South Carolina Gamecocks -20 (68-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Sears 30 7-12 4-6 4-5 3 6 0 0 3 22 16 +22.2
Chris Youngblood 23 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 2 1 3 3 2 +15.3
Labaron Philon 22 3-7 1-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 8 5 +5.1
Aden Holloway 22 5-7 1-2 2-2 1 3 1 0 0 13 11 +9.2
Derrion Reid 20 4-6 0-1 1-3 2 3 2 0 0 9 10 +13.1
Jarin Stevenson 20 1-3 0-1 1-3 3 2 2 1 1 3 7 +8.6
Grant Nelson 19 3-8 0-2 0-1 7 2 0 1 3 6 5 -0.2
Mouhamed Dioubate 17 3-4 0-0 1-3 2 1 2 1 1 7 8 +21.6
Clifford Omoruyi 13 5-7 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 10 10 +5.1
Aiden Sherrell 11 3-6 1-2 0-1 3 0 0 1 0 7 5 -0.4
Houston Mallette 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jacobi Wright 31 7-12 0-2 6-6 3 1 2 1 2 20 13 -17.2
Zachary Davis 29 4-9 2-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 10 8 -
Collin Murray-Boyles 28 1-6 0-1 4-4 8 3 2 0 2 6 11 -13.9
Jamarii Thomas 27 6-9 1-3 2-4 3 1 1 1 3 15 9 -11.2
Nick Pringle 25 4-6 0-0 5-9 6 0 0 0 3 13 10 -9.0
Morris Ugusuk 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 1 -11.6
Arden Conyers 19 1-6 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -5 -2.5
Jordan Butler 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 +3.4
Cam Scott 6 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -3.1
Benjamin Bosmans-Verdonk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter