Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers -3 (68-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Robinson | 37 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 23 | +2.6 |
| T. Johnson | 34 | 7-15 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 3 | -0.5 |
| A. Holt | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +2.4 |
| C. Bryant | 28 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +8.0 |
| L. Vaistaras | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.0 |
| B. Shoulders | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3.1 |
| J. Quinones | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +2.7 |
| J. Nze | 10 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +9.9 |
| M. Overstreet | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Nutter | 40 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | -2.3 |
| N. McMullen | 34 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | -2.5 |
| M. Brown | 28 | 5-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | +5.5 |
| C. Edwards | 28 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +8.7 |
| J. Hamilton | 27 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +8.0 |
| T. Lane | 22 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -9.5 |
| C. Peters | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10.9 |
| D. Evans | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -7.9 |
* = starter