Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Dorsey * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +12.9 |
| Keller Boothby * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +13.6 |
| Noah Collier * | 23 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 16 | -1.7 |
| Malachi Ndur * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | -13.7 |
| Chase Lowe * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -6.7 |
| Isaiah Mbeng | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Kyle Pulliam | 20 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Kyle Frazier | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -6.5 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Matteus Case | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -10.5 |
| Miles Hicks | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.0 |
| Finn Lally | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Tate * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | +3.7 |
| CJ Huntley * | 33 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +7.3 |
| Jackson Threadgill * | 33 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +9.1 |
| Dior Conners * | 29 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Jalil Beaubrun * | 21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -6.0 |
| Jamil Muttilib | 15 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Luke Wilson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Jason Clarke Jr. | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Alonzo Dodd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter