Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +16 (93-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi Heady | 38 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -11.4 |
| Anthony Pritchard | 37 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 8 | -14.2 |
| Cayden Vasko | 35 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -19.4 |
| Ugnius Jarusevicius | 31 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | -13.4 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -8.2 |
| Damarion Bonds | 21 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -6.9 |
| Bryan Ndjonga | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Hunter Harding | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.1 |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Schmidt | 35 | 5-12 | 4-5 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 14 | +16.3 |
| All Wright | 32 | 7-16 | 4-8 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 14 | +19.9 |
| Carson Schwieger | 28 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +8.9 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 27 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | +8.6 |
| Kaspar Sepp | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | +9.5 |
| Darius DeAveiro | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | +4.1 |
| Isaiah Shaw | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +9.3 |
| Devon Ellis | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.3 |
| Justus McNair | 6 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +0.6 |
| Louth Coulibaly | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
* = starter