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2024-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Lindenwood Lions Valparaiso Beacons Spread Result
Elo 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“
Margin 10.7% 89.3% +11.7 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.2% 90.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.0% 91.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“

Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lindenwood Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jadis Jones * 38 7-15 1-2 2-4 9 0 4 1 2 17 14 -13.7
Anias Futrell * 35 4-10 2-6 0-0 7 1 1 1 1 10 9 -13.7
Reggie Bass * 35 3-11 2-8 1-2 2 2 1 0 3 9 0 -12.3
Markeith Browning II * 26 9-16 2-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 20 8 -12.3
Jaylon McDaniel * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -8.7
Jordan Wildy 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 4 4 +0.3
Clayton Jackson 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 -0.9
Nathan Johnson Jr. 9 1-1 0-0 2-5 3 0 0 0 1 4 5 +1.3
Colin Ruffin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Aly Tounkara 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

Valparaiso Beacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius DeAveiro * 37 0-5 0-4 2-2 2 9 3 0 3 2 8 +12.8
Carson Schwieger * 34 9-12 0-2 4-6 11 1 0 2 4 22 20 +14.0
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro * 33 3-11 3-4 2-2 1 3 2 1 1 11 6 +8.6
All Wright * 25 2-4 1-2 3-4 1 0 0 0 2 8 3 +3.5
Devon Ellis * 21 5-9 0-0 3-3 5 0 0 1 1 13 9 +0.5
Isaiah Shaw 18 4-9 1-5 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 12 4 +9.7
Kaspar Sepp 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 6 9 +13.9
Tyler Schmidt 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.0
Justus McNair 5 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 -0.1
Louth Coulibaly 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter