Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland State Vikings | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -8 (67-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Arnett * | 37 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 23 | +7.1 |
| Tevin Smith * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +6.0 |
| Tahj Staveskie * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | +10.0 |
| Cole Franklin * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Ebrima Dibba * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
| Chase Robinson | 24 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +8.6 |
| Je'Shawn Stevenson | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Reece Robinson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +4.0 |
| KJ Debrick | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
| Isaac Abidde | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Schwieger * | 35 | 6-20 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | -6.4 |
| Devon Ellis * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 8-11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | -8.1 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | -7.9 |
| Darius DeAveiro * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Isaiah Shaw * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -13.6 |
| All Wright | 21 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | -3.7 |
| Tyler Schmidt | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3.3 |
| Kaspar Sepp | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Louth Coulibaly | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Justus McNair | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter