Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | UIC Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✗ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UIC Flames -18 (81-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Freeman * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +20.7 |
| Xavier Brown * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +5.4 |
| AJ Smith * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +15.5 |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett * | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +12.4 |
| Justin Taylor * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.4 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 26 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 26 | +15.8 |
| Eddie Ricks III | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Luke Anderson | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +5.7 |
| Noah Williams | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +14.0 |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4.7 |
| Redd Thompson Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Shane Feden | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Jarrell Pope | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Henderson II * | 32 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | -10.3 |
| Filip Skobalj * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Javon Jackson * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -8.5 |
| Saša Ciani * | 21 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +6.0 |
| Ethan Pickett * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -18.1 |
| Jordan Mason | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Tyem Freeman | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -10.3 |
| Koby Jeffries | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -6.7 |
| Josh Reaves | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -14.3 |
| Modestas Kancleris | 10 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -13.1 |
| Jayce Nathaniel | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Khaled Khaled | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.1 |
* = starter