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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Towson Tigers Duquesne Dukes Spread Result
Elo 70.8% 29.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 64.5% 35.5% - โœ—
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 โœ“ (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.1% 68.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.4% 62.6% - โœ“

Actual: Duquesne Dukes +18 (65-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mekhi Lowery 29 1-6 0-0 2-3 2 2 1 0 0 4 3 -21.5
Tyler Tejada 28 2-11 1-5 3-3 4 1 0 2 1 8 3 -17.7
Nendah Tarke 24 3-8 1-4 3-3 2 0 2 0 0 10 6 -15.6
Dylan Williamson 24 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 2 -5 -16.7
Christian May 23 1-6 1-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
Caleb Embeya 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 3 -4.8
Tomiwa Sulaiman 15 3-5 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 8 4 -3.7
Rahdir Hicks 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -6.6
Messiah Jones 14 3-6 0-1 1-1 3 0 1 0 0 7 5 +4.3
Abdou Samb 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -4.8

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jahsean Corbett 36 4-10 0-2 1-2 6 2 0 1 0 9 8 +18.6
Cameron Crawford 32 5-8 3-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 13 9 +17.3
Kareem Rozier 27 0-7 0-2 2-2 2 6 1 0 0 2 4 +13.6
Tre Dinkins 24 4-9 4-7 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 12 6 +9.9
David Dixon 20 0-0 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 3 1 4 12 +14.8
Jakub Necas 18 4-6 1-3 1-1 4 0 0 1 1 10 8 +5.1
Halil Barre 16 1-1 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 1 1 5 9 +5.0
Matus Hronsky 14 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 5 -0.2
Maximus Edwards 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 +5.0
Eli Wilborn 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 3 +1.1

* = starter