Model Predictions
| Model | Delaware Blue Hens | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.6% | 81.4% | +8.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Delaware Blue Hens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Timko | 35 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -13.4 |
| John Camden | 33 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | -11.5 |
| Izaiah Pasha | 32 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -13.5 |
| Cavan Reilly | 31 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Niels Lane | 25 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | -5.8 |
| Trent Middleton Jr. | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -7.9 |
| Tahron Allen | 13 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Macon Emory | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.7 |
| Houston Emory | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Kevin Kogbara | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Rozier | 34 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 7-9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +13.6 |
| Jahsean Corbett | 27 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +12.2 |
| Jakub Necas | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +4.9 |
| Tre Dinkins | 26 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +8.6 |
| Maximus Edwards | 25 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +10.0 |
| Cameron Crawford | 24 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +11.3 |
| Matus Hronsky | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +9.1 |
| Halil Barre | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +2.9 |
| David Dixon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2.8 |
* = starter