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2024-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Delaware Blue Hens Duquesne Dukes Spread Result
Elo 51.9% 48.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% -
Margin 18.6% 81.4% +8.1 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -
Efficiency 41.9% 58.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.1% 83.9% -
Log Adjusted 15.9% 84.1% -
Points Off/Def 29.5% 70.5% -

Actual: Duquesne Dukes +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Delaware Blue Hens

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Timko 35 3-8 2-4 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 8 7 -13.4
J. Camden 33 2-10 0-6 5-6 5 3 2 0 2 9 7 -11.5
I. Pasha 32 4-12 0-0 2-4 4 4 0 1 2 10 5 -13.5
C. Reilly 31 3-6 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 8 4 -1.6
N. Lane 25 8-10 2-3 2-3 4 1 0 1 2 20 14 -5.8
T. Middleton 14 1-3 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 2 0 4 6 -7.9
T. Allen 13 1-5 1-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 5 1 -
M. Emory 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -8.7
H. Emory 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -2.0
K. Kogbara 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Rozier 34 3-11 1-5 7-9 2 5 1 0 0 14 11 +13.6
J. Corbett 27 4-9 0-1 0-1 6 1 2 0 2 8 6 +12.2
J. Necas 26 3-6 1-2 1-2 7 0 0 1 2 8 8 +4.9
T. Dinkins 26 5-12 4-9 4-4 5 3 1 0 0 18 15 +8.6
M. Edwards 25 3-8 1-4 3-3 6 0 0 0 2 10 6 +10.0
C. Crawford 24 3-9 1-5 3-4 6 1 1 0 2 10 7 +11.3
M. Hronsky 18 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 +9.1
H. Barre 14 4-4 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 1 0 10 12 +2.9
D. Dixon 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 2 5 -2.8

* = starter