Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | +9.2 | ✗ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: VCU Rams -3 (76-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett | 33 | 6-15 | 5-10 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | +7.0 |
| Enoch Cheeks | 32 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | +10.7 |
| Nate Santos | 32 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +9.9 |
| Malachi Smith | 30 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | +7.0 |
| Amael L'Etang | 20 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +10.4 |
| Zed Key | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Jacob Conner | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.6 |
| Posh Alexander | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jaiun Simon | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.8 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Shulga | 39 | 3-13 | 1-9 | 9-10 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | -4.5 |
| Jack Clark | 36 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | -5.3 |
| Zeb Jackson | 32 | 5-16 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | -4.9 |
| J. Bamisile | 30 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Luke Bamgboye | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -5.3 |
| Christian Fermin | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Jennings | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -7.9 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Michael Belle | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
* = starter