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2025-03-04

Model Predictions

Model VCU Rams Duquesne Dukes Spread Result
Elo 87.1% 12.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 77.0% 23.0% - โœ“
Margin 86.2% 13.8% -10.1 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 60.7% 39.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.0% 9.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.1% 8.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 70.7% 29.3% - โœ“

Actual: Duquesne Dukes -9 (62-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Shulga 38 5-9 3-5 9-11 4 2 3 1 0 22 23 +12.0
Jack Clark 37 3-9 1-5 0-0 14 3 0 0 4 7 11 +9.5
J. Bamisile 33 5-10 0-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 12 4 +5.5
Zeb Jackson 27 5-12 3-6 3-3 4 2 2 0 2 16 10 +9.6
Christian Fermin 18 1-6 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 1 1 4 1 -
Luke Bamgboye 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 2 1 3 9 +6.4
Phillip Russell 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -3 +0.4
Brandon Jennings 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 +5.8
Michael Belle 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 2 2 +7.0

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tre Dinkins 33 2-12 1-5 5-6 1 5 1 0 2 10 3 -7.5
Jakub Necas 30 3-8 0-2 0-0 7 1 1 1 2 6 6 -6.7
Maximus Edwards 29 7-14 3-6 3-4 2 1 0 1 0 20 10 -2.7
Cameron Crawford 28 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 2 0 1 2 4 -2.8
Eli Wilborn 22 6-8 0-0 2-5 6 1 0 1 3 14 11 -18.9
Kareem Rozier 19 1-4 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -9.6
David Dixon 18 1-1 0-0 3-5 5 0 3 2 2 5 12 +8.8
Jahsean Corbett 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 2 4 -6.8
Matus Hronsky 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -3.2

* = starter