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2025-03-01

Model Predictions

Model George Mason Patriots Duquesne Dukes Spread Result
Elo 83.1% 16.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 73.5% 26.5% - โœ—
Margin 64.3% 35.7% -3.2 โœ— (20.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 73.7% 26.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 73.8% 26.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.4% 43.6% - โœ—

Actual: Duquesne Dukes +17 (85-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Maddox 32 1-5 0-3 5-5 3 2 0 0 0 7 7 -21.4
Jared Billups 29 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 6 6 -21.7
Jalen Haynes 27 4-5 0-0 6-7 7 2 0 0 6 14 12 -7.8
Brayden O'Connor 24 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 4 0 0 3 6 5 +0.3
K.D. Johnson 22 3-4 1-1 4-4 0 1 3 0 3 11 8 -16.1
Woody Newton 22 4-9 2-6 0-1 0 0 1 0 1 10 1 -12.9
Zach Anderson 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 3 6 +5.5
Giovanni Emejuru 14 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 5 4 -17.2
Justin Begg 11 1-6 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 3 -3 -1.7
Stas Sivka 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2.2

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tre Dinkins 29 7-11 6-9 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 20 12 +14.2
Cameron Crawford 27 5-9 5-8 1-2 5 3 3 0 0 16 18 +8.6
Maximus Edwards 26 4-9 3-6 3-4 2 5 0 0 0 14 12 +28.9
Kareem Rozier 25 0-2 0-1 8-10 2 2 2 0 2 8 10 +25.2
Jakub Necas 24 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 2 1 1 2 6 +11.0
David Dixon 17 5-6 1-2 2-3 5 1 0 1 2 13 12 +14.3
Eli Wilborn 17 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 2 1 5 9 -0.1
Jahsean Corbett 16 1-3 0-0 1-3 4 0 1 0 2 3 3 +9.4
Matus Hronsky 12 1-5 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -3 -10.4
Halil Barre 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 1 +0.5
Lucas Prolla 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

* = starter