Model Predictions
| Model | Richmond Spiders | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Tyne | 50 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | -5.1 |
| B. White | 46 | 3-14 | 1-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -4.3 |
| Mike Walz | 43 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 16 | +3.3 |
| Dusan Neskovic | 37 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 3 | -4.1 |
| Jason Roche | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -8.5 |
| Collin Tanner | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4.0 |
| Jack d'Entremont | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +6.6 |
| Jonathan Beagle | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Ryan Soulis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.8 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enoch Cheeks | 43 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 11-14 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 22 | +12.8 |
| Nate Santos | 42 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | +10.4 |
| Javon Bennett | 42 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Malachi Smith | 36 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | +6.1 |
| Zed Key | 29 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 14 | +3.2 |
| Amael L'Etang | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +3.0 |
| Jacob Conner | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Posh Alexander | 13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Jaiun Simon | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.6 |
* = starter