Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +24 (80-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Kochera | 35 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | -11.5 |
| Bobby Durkin | 33 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -17.5 |
| Reed Bailey | 32 | 1-12 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -18.3 |
| Zach Laput | 29 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | -9.5 |
| Mike Loughnane | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -20.4 |
| Hunter Adam | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -9.3 |
| Roberts Blums | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Manie Joses | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -11.0 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Shulga | 32 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +18.3 |
| Jack Clark | 31 | 7-9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | +16.9 |
| Phillip Russell | 31 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +17.0 |
| Luke Bamgboye | 24 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | +19.6 |
| Zeb Jackson | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +11.0 |
| J. Bamisile | 20 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | +9.1 |
| Christian Fermin | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Jennings | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +3.4 |
| Michael Belle | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.5 |
| Alphonzo Billups III | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Obinnaya Okafor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter