Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Rhode Island Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.1% | 32.9% | -3.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rhode Island Rams -8 (77-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enoch Cheeks | 37 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | +10.9 |
| Nate Santos | 36 | 5-11 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | +6.3 |
| Javon Bennett | 26 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Malachi Smith | 25 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | +2.1 |
| Amael L'Etang | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Jacob Conner | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +12.7 |
| Zed Key | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +9.8 |
| Posh Alexander | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Jaiun Simon | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | -10.7 |
Rhode Island Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamarques Lawrence | 39 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | -2.0 |
| Jaden House | 34 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | -2.1 |
| David Green | 32 | 5-14 | 0-6 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 8 | -11.6 |
| Sebastian Thomas | 31 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | -5.6 |
| David Fuchs | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -3.2 |
| Quentin Diboundje | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +7.1 |
| Javonte Brown | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Drissa Traore | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +4.3 |
| Cam Estevez | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.8 |
* = starter