๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-02-26

Model Predictions

Model St. Bonaventure Bonnies Saint Joseph's Hawks Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“
Margin 23.9% 76.1% +6.4 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% - โœ“

Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lajae Jones 40 6-13 1-3 1-2 5 0 4 0 0 14 10 -8.0
Melvin Council Jr. 40 8-17 0-2 2-2 8 4 1 0 0 18 14 -8.0
Noel Brown 31 6-14 1-1 0-0 8 0 0 1 2 13 6 -6.0
Chance Moore 30 3-7 0-1 3-3 1 1 0 0 1 9 3 -0.6
Jonah Hinton 27 1-6 0-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -11.3
Noah Bolanga 24 3-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 6 4 -7.1
Xander Wedlow 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 +2.9

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rasheer Fleming 38 9-13 1-5 0-0 6 0 1 3 0 19 16 +7.8
Xzayvier Brown 37 7-13 3-5 5-6 10 3 0 0 1 22 21 +5.1
Erik Reynolds II 37 3-13 0-7 2-2 2 6 0 0 2 8 1 +8.4
Anthony Finkley 30 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 6 8 +9.8
Derek Simpson 28 4-11 2-7 1-1 2 4 1 0 2 11 5 +14.5
Justice Ajogbor 22 3-4 0-0 0-3 7 1 0 3 2 6 11 +0.1
Dasear Haskins 6 1-2 1-2 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 3 4 +3.7
Shawn Simmons II 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.2

* = starter