Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +9.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +16 (70-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Maddox | 33 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Jared Billups | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -3.4 |
| K.D. Johnson | 27 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Jalen Haynes | 26 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | -4.0 |
| Woody Newton | 23 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +6.9 |
| Zach Anderson | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4.5 |
| Brayden O'Connor | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Giovanni Emejuru | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Justin Begg | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | +4.0 |
| Stas Sivka | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Shulga | 36 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 8-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | +3.9 |
| Jack Clark | 34 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +3.5 |
| J. Bamisile | 28 | 3-11 | 1-8 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Christian Fermin | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Phillip Russell | 24 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | +5.9 |
| Zeb Jackson | 23 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -10.0 |
| Luke Bamgboye | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +8.7 |
| Brandon Jennings | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Michael Belle | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Obinnaya Okafor | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Alphonzo Billups III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter