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2025-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Duquesne Dukes St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matus Hronsky 36 3-13 2-9 3-4 6 1 0 0 1 11 4 -5.1
Tre Dinkins 35 5-9 3-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 15 8 -4.1
Cameron Crawford 33 4-11 3-7 1-2 4 0 1 0 3 12 3 -4.6
Maximus Edwards 30 1-7 1-7 3-6 10 3 0 0 2 6 10 -1.6
David Dixon 25 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 3 3 1 0 3 12 -1.4
Kareem Rozier 23 1-4 0-3 2-2 4 5 0 1 1 4 9 -7.4
Eli Wilborn 11 4-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 0 8 8 +4.2
Halil Barre 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 4 4 -8.9

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lajae Jones 40 8-11 4-6 4-6 4 1 5 0 1 24 22 +6.0
Melvin Council Jr. 40 8-14 2-5 2-3 5 4 0 1 3 20 13 +6.0
Chance Moore 37 3-8 0-2 6-10 4 1 0 0 1 12 8 +6.0
Noel Brown 37 3-7 1-1 0-0 3 5 3 1 1 7 11 +8.2
Noah Bolanga 23 1-4 0-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 2 6 -0.7
Jonah Hinton 20 1-3 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 5 3 +6.7
Xander Wedlow 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter