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2025-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Loyola Chicago Ramblers Spread Result
Elo 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.2% 57.8% - โœ“
Margin 56.3% 43.7% -1.4 โœ— (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 48.1% 51.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 66.6% 33.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 66.9% 33.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% - โœ—

Actual: Loyola Chicago Ramblers +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Enoch Cheeks 38 5-12 1-6 5-6 7 1 0 1 1 16 12 -0.2
Javon Bennett 37 5-13 1-5 0-1 6 1 0 0 0 11 5 +2.0
Malachi Smith 31 2-9 0-2 4-5 5 5 1 0 1 8 9 +5.2
Nate Santos 29 5-9 1-3 7-9 5 1 1 0 2 18 14 -1.0
Amael L'Etang 21 4-8 2-5 0-0 5 1 3 1 2 10 10 +4.6
Jaiun Simon 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 3 4 -2.5
Jacob Conner 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 +2.9
Posh Alexander 9 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 -8.0
Zed Key 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -12.8

Loyola Chicago Ramblers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Des Watson 37 8-14 2-4 4-4 5 3 2 0 1 22 17 +6.8
Sheldon Edwards Jr. 31 3-8 2-6 2-3 6 2 0 0 2 10 8 +0.1
Kymany Houinsou 28 1-3 0-0 1-2 6 6 0 0 2 3 10 -8.5
Miles Rubin 27 6-8 0-0 2-5 3 3 0 4 2 14 14 +2.4
Jayden Dawson 27 2-8 1-4 0-2 2 1 2 1 0 5 3 +1.7
Jalen Quinn 24 4-6 0-0 3-5 0 3 1 0 1 11 8 +10.6
Jalen DeLoach 13 3-7 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 1 1 10 7 +1.0
Francis Nwaokorie 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 1 4 +3.9
Daniil Glazkov 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.0

* = starter