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2025-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Saint Joseph's Hawks George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“
Margin 36.9% 63.1% +3.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“

Actual: George Mason Patriots +1 (58-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Xzayvier Brown 38 7-14 2-5 3-4 4 2 3 0 4 19 10 +4.2
Erik Reynolds II 36 4-10 3-5 0-0 1 3 1 1 1 11 6 -1.7
Anthony Finkley 34 1-5 1-4 3-4 5 2 1 1 1 6 9 -1.6
Derek Simpson 30 3-9 1-4 1-3 2 2 0 1 2 8 2 +0.3
Rasheer Fleming 28 3-6 3-5 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 9 12 +3.1
Justice Ajogbor 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 3 1 2 8 -8.8
Shawn Simmons II 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 +8.4
Dasear Haskins 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -3.8

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jared Billups 31 2-4 1-1 0-0 6 2 5 0 1 5 13 +6.1
Jalen Haynes 31 8-16 0-2 6-9 8 2 0 0 1 22 15 +8.0
Brayden O'Connor 29 2-3 0-0 4-4 0 4 0 0 2 8 7 -2.9
Darius Maddox 26 3-8 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 -1 -2.8
Woody Newton 24 0-1 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 1 1 2 4 +0.1
Zach Anderson 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -0.0
K.D. Johnson 20 4-6 1-2 0-2 4 1 1 0 2 9 7 +5.5
Justin Begg 9 0-4 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 2 0 -3.1
Giovanni Emejuru 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -3.1

* = starter