Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Bailey | 38 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | -2.8 |
| Bobby Durkin | 37 | 5-15 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | -3.0 |
| Connor Kochera | 35 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | -5.3 |
| Mike Loughnane | 30 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -5.3 |
| Zach Laput | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -12.8 |
| Hunter Adam | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +8.7 |
| Manie Joses | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +8.6 |
| Joe Hurlburt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Santos | 37 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | +4.7 |
| Javon Bennett | 35 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +6.1 |
| Enoch Cheeks | 34 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Posh Alexander | 33 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Amael L'Etang | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 22 | +7.5 |
| Jacob Conner | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Zed Key | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4.5 |
| Hamad Mousa | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.7 |
| Jaiun Simon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
* = starter